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Cairn is an action-adventure game slated for a 2026 release. It also incorporates elements of simulation and sports genres. The title has garnered 15,630 reviews on Steam, indicating significant player interest prior to its launch.
Overview
Cairn is a 2026 Action game developed by The Game Bakers and published by The Game Bakers. On Steam it has gathered 17,357 player reviews, 95% of them positive, which counts as a very positive reception among indie titles in the Action category. The game is available on windows, and launched at $30. The pairing of developer The Game Bakers with publisher The Game Bakers is one of the studio-publisher relationships indielist tracks, letting players find comparable games and letting developers and investors study how Action projects reach the market. indielist's white-box method estimates its lifetime sales at roughly 573,000 to 1.3 million units, with the full Boxleiter factor breakdown shown on this page rather than a single black-box figure. Within indielist's catalog of indie games mapped to their studios, publishers, and funding, Cairn can be compared against similar Action titles and benchmarked on review counts and estimated sales.
Reviews
17,357
Positive
95%
Steam appid
1588550
Engine
Unknown
Players (snapshot)
504
Historical snapshot ·
Sales estimate
v1.0573K to 1.3M
units (median: 955K)
≈ $9.8M to $22.9M modeled net revenue (fixed store-cut, refund, and regional-price assumptions applied)
+ - How is this calculated?
| Factor | Adjustment |
|---|---|
| base | +50 |
| year_2026 | -10 |
| price_$30 | +5 |
| positive_95% | +10 |
| final NB | 55 |
Heuristic display range: median × [0.6, 1.4]. Boundary protection: NB ∈ [15, 150].
Methodology & limitations
Sales estimates use an additive Boxleiter-derived heuristic against public Steam review
counts. They are not authoritative sales data, and the fixed display range
is not a statistically validated confidence interval. Actual results may fall outside it,
especially for deeply discounted or bundle-heavy titles. Algorithm version
v1.0. Read the exact method and validation status.
indielist estimates lifetime unit sales for Cairn at roughly 573,000 to 1.3 million copies, with a median around 955,000, derived from its 17,357 Steam reviews using a multi-factor Boxleiter method (version v1.0). That median maps to approximately $16.4M in net revenue after Steam's 30% cut, regional pricing, and refunds. Unlike black-box trackers, the full calculation is shown on this page: a base review-to-sales multiplier is adjusted for release year, launch price, review sentiment, studio size, and genre, and every adjustment is listed so developers, publishers, and investors can audit exactly how the figure was reached. The range itself reflects genuine uncertainty — review-to-sales ratios vary widely between games — so indielist publishes a low, median, and high band rather than a false-precision single number, and treats free-to-play, heavily discounted, and bundle-distributed titles as having wider error margins still.
Price history
53 observed days · window low $19.19Across 53 observed UTC days from 2026-05-31 to 2026-07-22, the daily lowest tracked USD price across stores ranged from $19.19 to $29.99. The tracked-window low was $19.19 on 2026-06-02.
Real store observations · daily lowest tracked USD price across stores · missing days are not filled.
Where to buy
Affiliate disclosure- Humble Store -34%$19.67 Buy
- Fanatical -34%$22.48 Buy
- Steam reference$29.99 Buy
- GOG.com$29.99 Buy
- Green Man Gaming
Latest tracked store observations (2026-07-22 18:24 UTC), cheapest first. Prices may have changed since observation. Some are affiliate links — we may earn a commission at no extra cost to you. Learn more.
Platforms
windows
Genres
Frequently asked questions
- How many copies has Cairn sold?
- indielist estimates Cairn has sold between 572,781 and 1,336,489 units (median 954,635), derived from its 17,357 Steam reviews with the white-box Boxleiter v1.0 method. The full breakdown is shown on the page.
- Who developed Cairn?
- Cairn was developed by The Game Bakers and published by The Game Bakers.
- Who published Cairn?
- Cairn was published by The Game Bakers, developed by The Game Bakers. See The Game Bakers's full catalogue and submission status on indielist.
- When was Cairn released?
- Cairn was released in 2026.
- How many reviews does Cairn have on Steam?
- Cairn has 17,357 Steam reviews, of which 95% are positive.
- Is Cairn worth playing?
- Steam players rate Cairn 95% positive across 17,357 reviews. indielist doesn't score games editorially; it surfaces public review sentiment and a white-box sales estimate so you can judge reception and reach yourself.
Ecosystem
Players looking for games like Cairn can compare it on indielist against semantically similar Action titles such as Rust, Terraria, Phasmophobia, ARK: Survival Evolved, ranked by shared tags and genre rather than by ad spend. On the developer side, The Game Bakers's other releases and The Game Bakers's wider catalog are one click away, letting developers benchmark where Cairn sits among a studio's body of work and how its publisher's portfolio performs. Because indielist maps studios, publishers, games, and funding into one connected graph, the same Cairn page serves three audiences at once: players hunting their next Action game, developers studying how comparable projects were positioned and what they sold, and investors tracing which teams and labels are active in the space. A machine-readable markdown mirror of this page is published at the same path with a .md suffix for AI assistants, and its review, price, and sales-estimate figures are refreshed on a schedule rather than frozen at launch.
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Matched from shared Steam tags and primary genre. Review count breaks ties; it is not a personal recommendation score.
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