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Coincidences?

Apr 27, 2026 Adventure $3.99
Developer FogTime Publisher FogTime
C
Coincidences? header

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Adventure indie game Coincidences? launched in 2026 from developer and publisher fogtime. It is budget-priced at $3.99 and has 232 Steam reviews listed as 0% positive, mixed.

Overview

Coincidences? is a 2026 Adventure game developed by FogTime and published by FogTime. On Steam it has gathered 363 player reviews, 92% of them positive, which counts as a very positive reception among indie titles in the Adventure category. The game is available on windows, and launched at $4. The pairing of developer FogTime with publisher FogTime is one of the studio-publisher relationships indielist tracks, letting players find comparable games and letting developers and investors study how Adventure projects reach the market. indielist's white-box method estimates its lifetime sales at roughly 9,000 to 20,000 units, with the full Boxleiter factor breakdown shown on this page rather than a single black-box figure. Within indielist's catalog of indie games mapped to their studios, publishers, and funding, Coincidences? can be compared against similar Adventure titles and benchmarked on review counts and estimated sales.

Reviews

363

Positive

92%

Steam appid

3848750

Engine

Unknown

Players (snapshot)

Unavailable

Sales estimate

v1.0

9K to 20K

units (median: 15K)

≈ $20K to $46K modeled net revenue (fixed store-cut, refund, and regional-price assumptions applied)

9K median 20K
+ How is this calculated?
363 reviews × NB(40) = 14,520 median units
Factor Adjustment
base +50
year_2026 -10
price_$4 -20
positive_92% +10
genre_Adventure +10
final NB 40

Heuristic display range: median × [0.6, 1.4]. Boundary protection: NB ∈ [15, 150].

Methodology & limitations

Sales estimates use an additive Boxleiter-derived heuristic against public Steam review counts. They are not authoritative sales data, and the fixed display range is not a statistically validated confidence interval. Actual results may fall outside it, especially for deeply discounted or bundle-heavy titles. Algorithm version v1.0. Read the exact method and validation status.

indielist estimates lifetime unit sales for Coincidences? at roughly 9,000 to 20,000 copies, with a median around 15,000, derived from its 363 Steam reviews using a multi-factor Boxleiter method (version v1.0). That median maps to approximately $33K in net revenue after Steam's 30% cut, regional pricing, and refunds. Unlike black-box trackers, the full calculation is shown on this page: a base review-to-sales multiplier is adjusted for release year, launch price, review sentiment, studio size, and genre, and every adjustment is listed so developers, publishers, and investors can audit exactly how the figure was reached. The range itself reflects genuine uncertainty — review-to-sales ratios vary widely between games — so indielist publishes a low, median, and high band rather than a false-precision single number, and treats free-to-play, heavily discounted, and bundle-distributed titles as having wider error margins still.

Price history

14 observed days · window low $2.79

Across 14 observed UTC days from 2026-07-15 to 2026-09-01, the daily lowest tracked USD price across stores ranged from $2.79 to $3.99. The tracked-window low was $2.79 on 2026-08-25.

$2 $3 $5 07-1507-1807-2007-2808-1109-01 2026-07-15: $3.99 2026-07-16: $3.99 2026-07-17: $3.99 2026-07-18: $3.99 2026-07-19: $3.99 2026-07-20: $3.99 2026-07-21: $3.99 2026-07-22: $3.99 2026-07-28: $3.99 2026-08-04: $3.99 2026-08-11: $3.99 2026-08-18: $3.99 2026-08-25: $2.79 2026-09-01: $3.99 2026-07-15: $3.99 2026-07-16: $3.99 2026-07-17: $3.99 2026-07-18: $3.99 2026-07-19: $3.99 2026-07-20: $3.99 2026-07-21: $3.99 2026-07-22: $3.99 2026-07-28: $3.99 2026-08-04: $3.99 2026-08-11: $3.99 2026-08-18: $3.99 2026-08-25: $2.79 (tracked-window low) 2026-09-01: $3.99 Tracked-window low: $2.79 on 2026-08-25

Real store observations · daily lowest tracked USD price across stores · missing days are not filled.

Where to buy

Affiliate disclosure
  • Steam reference
    $3.99 Buy
  • Green Man Gaming
  • Fanatical
  • Humble Store
  • GOG.com

Latest tracked store observations (2026-09-01 05:59 UTC), cheapest first. Prices may have changed since observation. Some are affiliate links — we may earn a commission at no extra cost to you. Learn more.

Platforms

windows

Genres

AdventureIndie

Frequently asked questions

How many copies has Coincidences? sold?
indielist estimates Coincidences? has sold between 8,712 and 20,328 units (median 14,520), derived from its 363 Steam reviews with the white-box Boxleiter v1.0 method. The full breakdown is shown on the page.
Who developed Coincidences??
Coincidences? was developed by FogTime and published by FogTime.
Who published Coincidences??
Coincidences? was published by FogTime, developed by FogTime. See FogTime's full catalogue and submission status on indielist.
When was Coincidences? released?
Coincidences? was released in 2026.
How many reviews does Coincidences? have on Steam?
Coincidences? has 363 Steam reviews, of which 92% are positive.
Is Coincidences? worth playing?
Steam players rate Coincidences? 92% positive across 363 reviews. indielist doesn't score games editorially; it surfaces public review sentiment and a white-box sales estimate so you can judge reception and reach yourself.

Ecosystem

Players looking for games like Coincidences? can compare it on indielist against semantically similar Adventure titles such as Subnautica, Raft, Satisfactory, Human Fall Flat, ranked by shared tags and genre rather than by ad spend. On the developer side, FogTime's other releases and FogTime's wider catalog are one click away, letting developers benchmark where Coincidences? sits among a studio's body of work and how its publisher's portfolio performs. Because indielist maps studios, publishers, games, and funding into one connected graph, the same Coincidences? page serves three audiences at once: players hunting their next Adventure game, developers studying how comparable projects were positioned and what they sold, and investors tracing which teams and labels are active in the space. A machine-readable markdown mirror of this page is published at the same path with a .md suffix for AI assistants, and its review, price, and sales-estimate figures are refreshed on a schedule rather than frozen at launch.

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