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Action-focused card-and-combat design defines Hand of Fate, a 2015 game from Defiant Development. It has 10,644 Steam reviews with 89% positive sentiment, is tagged as very positive, and was self-published by its developer at an initial price of $19.99.
Overview
Hand of Fate is a 2015 Action game developed by Defiant Development and published by Defiant Development. On Steam it has gathered 8,007 player reviews, 89% of them positive, which counts as a very positive reception among indie titles in the Action category. The game is available on linux, mac, windows, and launched at $20. The pairing of developer Defiant Development with publisher Defiant Development is one of the studio-publisher relationships indielist tracks, letting players find comparable games and letting developers and investors study how Action projects reach the market. indielist's white-box method estimates its lifetime sales at roughly 432,000 to 1.0 million units, with the full Boxleiter factor breakdown shown on this page rather than a single black-box figure. Within indielist's catalog of indie games mapped to their studios, publishers, and funding, Hand of Fate can be compared against similar Action titles and benchmarked on review counts and estimated sales.
Reviews
8,007
Positive
89%
Steam appid
266510
Engine
Unknown
Players (snapshot)
Unavailable
Sales estimate
v1.0432K to 1.0M
units (median: 721K)
≈ $4.9M to $11.5M modeled net revenue (fixed store-cut, refund, and regional-price assumptions applied)
+ - How is this calculated?
| Factor | Adjustment |
|---|---|
| base | +50 |
| year_2015 | +30 |
| price_$20 | 0 |
| positive_89% | +10 |
| final NB | 90 |
Heuristic display range: median × [0.6, 1.4]. Boundary protection: NB ∈ [15, 150].
Methodology & limitations
Sales estimates use an additive Boxleiter-derived heuristic against public Steam review
counts. They are not authoritative sales data, and the fixed display range
is not a statistically validated confidence interval. Actual results may fall outside it,
especially for deeply discounted or bundle-heavy titles. Algorithm version
v1.0. Read the exact method and validation status.
indielist estimates lifetime unit sales for Hand of Fate at roughly 432,000 to 1.0 million copies, with a median around 721,000, derived from its 8,007 Steam reviews using a multi-factor Boxleiter method (version v1.0). That median maps to approximately $8.2M in net revenue after Steam's 30% cut, regional pricing, and refunds. Unlike black-box trackers, the full calculation is shown on this page: a base review-to-sales multiplier is adjusted for release year, launch price, review sentiment, studio size, and genre, and every adjustment is listed so developers, publishers, and investors can audit exactly how the figure was reached. The range itself reflects genuine uncertainty — review-to-sales ratios vary widely between games — so indielist publishes a low, median, and high band rather than a false-precision single number, and treats free-to-play, heavily discounted, and bundle-distributed titles as having wider error margins still.
Price history
49 observed days · window low $4.99Across 49 observed UTC days from 2026-06-10 to 2026-09-02, the daily lowest tracked USD price across stores ranged from $4.99 to $19.99. The tracked-window low was $4.99 on 2026-06-10.
Real store observations · daily lowest tracked USD price across stores · missing days are not filled.
Where to buy
Affiliate disclosureLatest tracked store observations (2026-09-02 06:38 UTC), cheapest first. Prices may have changed since observation. Some are affiliate links — we may earn a commission at no extra cost to you. Learn more.
Platforms
linuxmacwindows
Frequently asked questions
- How many copies has Hand of Fate sold?
- indielist estimates Hand of Fate has sold between 432,378 and 1,008,882 units (median 720,630), derived from its 8,007 Steam reviews with the white-box Boxleiter v1.0 method. The full breakdown is shown on the page.
- Who developed Hand of Fate?
- Hand of Fate was developed by Defiant Development and published by Defiant Development.
- Who published Hand of Fate?
- Hand of Fate was published by Defiant Development, developed by Defiant Development. See Defiant Development's full catalogue and submission status on indielist.
- When was Hand of Fate released?
- Hand of Fate was released in 2015.
- How many reviews does Hand of Fate have on Steam?
- Hand of Fate has 8,007 Steam reviews, of which 89% are positive.
- Is Hand of Fate worth playing?
- Steam players rate Hand of Fate 89% positive across 8,007 reviews. indielist doesn't score games editorially; it surfaces public review sentiment and a white-box sales estimate so you can judge reception and reach yourself.
Ecosystem
Players looking for games like Hand of Fate can compare it on indielist against semantically similar Action titles such as Terraria, Rust, Phasmophobia, The Forest, ranked by shared tags and genre rather than by ad spend. On the developer side, Defiant Development's other releases and Defiant Development's wider catalog are one click away, letting developers benchmark where Hand of Fate sits among a studio's body of work and how its publisher's portfolio performs. Because indielist maps studios, publishers, games, and funding into one connected graph, the same Hand of Fate page serves three audiences at once: players hunting their next Action game, developers studying how comparable projects were positioned and what they sold, and investors tracing which teams and labels are active in the space. A machine-readable markdown mirror of this page is published at the same path with a .md suffix for AI assistants, and its review, price, and sales-estimate figures are refreshed on a schedule rather than frozen at launch.
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